Commodities #4

Commodities #4

Weekly Update #4

Gold (XAU) 

Macro = bullish / short term = neutral

We are at a NO TRADE zone currently trading at resistance. For bullish momentum to continue, a break above the all time high of $2,484 is crucial. 

Bearish scenario, if price breaks below $2,430’s then we’ll expect a bigger retrace sub $2,400’s, which could be an ideal long entry area.

Silver (XAG)

Macro = bullish / short term = bearish

Nothing has changed here, short term structure remains bearish. The $29 price range might be yet another ideal short entry. If we strongly break above $29.5 then our short idea will be invalidated as this impulse will signal a trend reversal towards bullish territory again. 

Corn (ZC) 

Macro = neutral / short term = bearish

No signs of life here. As previously said, “unless we flip above $393 there is no point in going long right now. On lower timeframe price wants to keep going down. Any retrace toward low $380's might be a good short entry.

Soybean (ZS) 

Macro = bearish / short term = bearish

This one completely puked. Prices seem to have found a temporary bottom but there is no rush to jump in right now as there are no clear setups. Any pump towards $1,035’s is a short entry. Invalidation of trade idea and flip long upon a strong break above $1,043. 

Wheat (ZW)

Macro = bullish / short term = neutral/bullish

Like previously mentioned, the price found a temporary bottom. Ideal long will be upon a break above $555 area although a there is an aggressive long trade idea, accumulation in the low $520’s expecting the previous lows remain intact and anticipating a bounce from there. 

Sugar (SB) 

Macro = bullish / short term = neutral/bullish

Similar to our Wheat trade idea and as previously stated on our last report, we are currently trading at our ideal long entry (aggressive entry anticipating a pump). Ideally we want a strong bullish reaction soon here. If we lose support at $17.6 is game over, trade invalidated.

Disclaimer

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